Spurs vs Thunder Expert Picks & Game 1 Best Bets

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The most anticipated series of the season tips off tonight, as the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs — the two best teams in the NBA — play Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals.

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We’ve polled our basketball experts for their favorite NBA picks for tonight’s game, where, despite two elite defenses, we should see plenty of offense in OKC.

Spurs vs Thunder Expert Picks Tonight

Pick

Odds

Jon Metler: Fox o15.5 points

-125

Jason Logan: Holmgren o1.5 assists

-115

Joe Osborne: Over 221.5

-110

Odds courtesy of bet365.

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Jon Metler’s expert pick: De’Aaron Fox Over 15.5 points

Price: -125 at bet365

All season long, I’ve been looking for schedule spots where De’Aaron Fox should see elevated minutes and a usage spike in crunch time. It’s harder than you think, because the San Antonio Spurs blow out so many teams, but the Western Conference Finals are the perfect series to target Fox’s props. Every game should be highly competitive, which is massive for Fox, who is one of the most clutch scorers in the NBA and a former Clutch Player of the Year Award winner. I know the Thunder boast an elite defense, but Fox shouldn’t be trading as low as 15.5 — his scoring output was down this season simply because San Antonio didn’t need him in the 4th quarter. In this series, they will, and Fox will get to his spots in the mid-range. I’d price the over on 15.5 points closer to -185.

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Jason Logan’s expert pick: Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 assists

Price: -115 at bet365

Chet Holmgren was in attack mode against a smaller…

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Publish date : 2026-05-18 22:29:00

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