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The San Antonio Spurs are locked into the No. 2 seed, but a win today over the Denver Nuggets could mean avoiding Nikola Jokic & Co. in the second round of the playoffs.
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While Denver enters the final day of the regular season as the third seed, there’s still potential to slide back, and my Nuggets vs. Spurs predictions favor a San Antonio squad sitting fewer players.
Take a closer look at this clash on Sunday, April 12, with my NBA picks and betting angles.
Nuggets vs Spurs prediction
Nuggets vs Spurs best bet: Spurs -11.5 (-110)
These teams have served up three thrillers already this season, including an overtime classic earlier this month, but the lengthy injury reports suggest today’s matchup will have less star power.
In that scenario, I have more faith in the San Antonio Spurs’ depth, with Dylan Harper and Carter Bryant among those poised for bigger roles if neither Victor Wembanyama nor Stephon Castle, both questionable, play. The Spurs are 22-16-1 ATS at home this year, and they’ve lost just once at Frost Bank Center since January 25.
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Meanwhile, it’s going to be a real mash unit for the Denver Nuggets, with Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, and Cam Johnson all ruled out.
Nikola Jokic (questionable) could log some minutes to hit the 65-game mark, but the visitors will otherwise turn to a collection of fringe rotation guys while shifting their attention toward the playoffs.
That’s enough for me to lay the large spread with the relentless Spurs, who are 9-1 straight up in their last 10, and 32-7 SU at home this year.
Mitch Johnson can still call on a talented rotation, which may even include De’Aaron Fox and Harrison Barnes, and that’s a formula for a comfortable home victory here, ending Denver’s 11-game win streak.
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Nuggets vs Spurs same-game parlay
Plenty of San Antonio wins have been sparked by defensive tenacity, and the Under is 47-35 for the hosts this season.
It’s also 6-3 in the Spurs’ last nine outings, and I’m counting on that grit to keep the…
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Publish date : 2026-04-12 20:15:00
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