No. 11 Illinois vs. Oregon predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for March 3

The final week of the Big Ten’s regular season is underway. Tonight, in Champaign, the Fighting Illini of Illinois (22-7, 13-5) look to get the train back on the tracks when they take the court against the Oregon Ducks (11-18, 4-14).

After starting the season 20-3, Illinois has lost two in a row and four of six (three in overtime) dropping to fourth in the Big 10 behind Michigan, Nebraska, and Michigan State. Getting things back in working order begins with a rediscovery and commitment to their core identity: playing smart basketball on the defensive end and pounding the glass.

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Illinois was outrebounded 34-30 last Friday night and fell at home to No. 3 Michigan, 84-70. A tightly contested ball game was blown open when Michigan went on a 22-6 run in the second half to build a 21-point lead, 75-54, with just under seven minutes to play. Keaton Wagler led Illinois in the loss with 23 points.

Trying to salvage their season after a 1-11 start in Big Ten play, the Oregon Ducks have won three of their past five including a 71-70 win at USC on February 21, and at home against Wisconsin, 85-71, just four days later. Their defense really stepped up in those games, holding both opponents below 40% from the field.

This past Saturday, Oregon fell to Northwestern, 63-62. Kwame Evans Jr. grabbed a career-high 15 boards and scored 15 pts for his fourth double-double this season, and Oregon outrebounded Northwestern 37-32. So how did they lose? The Ducks shot just 39% from the field and lost the turnover battle.

Illinois has a record of 8-6 in Q1 games and is 6-1 in Q2. Oregon is 1-12 in Q1 and 1-5 in Quad 2 games. The Ducks are ranked No. 5 in KenPom and No. 5 in the NET. Oregon is ranked No. 98 in KenPom and 107th in the NET.

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Lets take a closer look at tonight’s matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on…

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Publish date : 2026-03-03 12:05:00

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