Big 10 Pick 6: Bring to a Gentle Boil

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON – OCTOBER 09: Elijah Brown #7 of the Washington Huskies passes against the Iowa Hawkeyes during the second half at Husky Stadium on October 09, 2026 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images) | Getty Images

I went 0-6 against the spread two weeks ago and bounced back to 5-1 last week, missing on the crazy Minnesota letdown against Purdue. That brings me near even at 17-19 ATS on the year. Another good week can get me back in the black, so let’s get straight to the picks.

Washington @ Purdue (-3.5)

Before the season, the idea that the Dawgs would be underdogs in this game would have seemed unfathomable. The Huskies were ranked #17 in the country and Purdue hadn’t won a conference game roughly since Joe Tiller and Drew Brees played in West Lafayette. Now, the Boilermakers have won two in a row (that’s a streak!) against Illinois and Minnesota- the very same Gophers team that pantsed UW at home in the conference opener. They have excelled on the back of Fami Ijeboi, a Minnesota transfer who has run 40 times for 260 yards over the last two weeks. QB Ryan Brown has shown growth, already matching last year’s 9 TD passes, but doing it against a single Int after tossing 10 of them a year ago. The Husky defense absolutely must revert to their early-season form and leave last week’s missed tackles and assignments in the rearview.

Of course, the more interesting question is what UW’s offense will look like. While Purdue’s defense has got the job done thus far in conference play, they still rank only 104th nationally in defensive SP+. Notre Dame, UCLA, and Wake Forest averaged over 40 ppg against them in their three losses. Washington’s rush offense has been DOA most of the year with sub-par blocking and RB depth that was never supposed to be forced into regular action this year. However, Demond Williams’ rib injury last week brough Elijah Brown in at QB and he immediately showed better timing and an ability to read the…

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Publish date : 2026-10-15 21:08:00

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