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The BYU football program kicked off the 2026 season with a dominant win over Utah Tech. BYU will turn the page to week two for what will be one of the most important games of the season: the conference opener against Arizona.
BYU needed double overtime to beat the Wildcats in Tucson last season. Arizona has this game circled and will be motivated to avenge last season’s loss. ESPN’s FPI predicted the BYU-Arizona game and updated BYU’s projected win total for the 2026 season.
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FPI gives BYU a 76.8% chance to beat the Wildcats. The Cougars are favored by seven points according to DraftKings.
The Wildcats are coming off a 35-7 win over FCS foe NAU. BYU had a 73.8% chance to beat Arizona in the preseason. BYU’s chances to win improved after week one.
FPI Updates Prediction for BYU’s 2026 Schedule
BYU’s projected record dropped from 8.9-3.1 to 8.8-3.2. That says less about BYU and more about a few of the teams on BYU’s schedule.
Arizona State, UCF, and Kansas were dominant against FCS foes which slightly decreased BYU’s projected outlook.
Below are the game-by-game predictions after week one.
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Arizona: 76.8% (73.8% in the preseason)
Colorado State: 92.1% (94.7% in the preseason)
TCU: 71.6% (64.9% in the preseason)
Iowa State: 90.0% (89.0% in the preseason)
Notre Dame: 26.4% (24.0% in the preseason)
UCF: 62.8% (67.7% in the preseason)
ASU: 75.1% (78.9% in the prseason)
Utah: 53.6% (58.7% in the preseason)
Baylor: 77.3% (76.4% in the preseason)
Kansas: 71.3% (71.9% in the preseason)
Cincinnati: 80.0% (82.7% in the preseason)
Odds of a Special Season
BYU is coming off back-to-back double-digit win seasons. BYU is looking to win double-digit games again and win the Big 12 conference. What are the odds that BYU can win 10 games or more in the regular season?
6 wins or more – 98.9%
7 wins or more – 94.4%
8 wins or more – 82.2%
9 wins or more – 59.3%
10 wins or more – 31.2%
11 wins or more – 10.0%
12 wins (undefeated) – 1.3%
FPI Rankings
BYU improved one spot in the FPI power rankings…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/fpi-predicts-byu-vs-arizona-182120880.html
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Publish date : 2026-09-06 18:21:00
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