NBA Draft Odds & Predictions: Best Kalshi Picks Before Draft Night

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With the NBA Draft set for Tuesday, June 23, all basketball eyes turn to Milwaukee.

The Bucks insisted Giannis Antetokounmpo would either be traded — or decisively not traded — before the NBA Draft, and yet here we are, simply waiting.

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As we wait, studying the NBA Draft odds reveals a few chances at profit, though prudent betting is likely the smartest betting ahead of Tuesday night.

Even Shams Charania has been loudly shown to know nothing for sure until picks are made.

Best NBA Draft predictions

Pick

Probability

American
Odds

No. 1 Pick Traded: No

90¢

-900

Darryn Peterson over Cameron Boozer

68¢

-213

AJ Dybantsa No. 2 Pick

17¢

+488

Caleb Wilson No. 3 Pick

14¢

+614

Mikel Brown Jr. over Kingston Flemings

76¢

-317

Percentages via Kalshi.

NBA Draft Predictions & Analysis

No. 1 Pick To Be Traded: No 

-900 at Kalshi

This may seem rather obvious, but it is still underpriced.

The tanking in the 2025-26 season was so egregious that it has now sparked paradigm-shifting reforms in the NBA, changes that could have unexpected effects for a decade to come.

The Washington Wizards did not bench Trae Young and Anthony Davis upon receiving them in separate trades, only to now trade away the No. 1 pick. The Wizards see their future. It is based around this top pick, complementing Young offensively and Davis defensively for the rest of the 2020s.

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Short of Antetokounmpo — who would never re-sign with the Wizards and thus Washington would never consider sending assets for him — there is no one on the market that would justify even thinking about moving the No. 1 pick.

Draft Matchup: Darryn Peterson vs Cameron Boozer

Pick: Darryn Peterson
strong/strongstrong-213 at Kalshi/strong

No, Darryn Peterson has not visited the Utah Jazz, trying to force his way into the No. 1 pick. That looks less and less likely for Peterson, most informed minds expecting the Wizards to select AJ Dybantsa from BYU.

But that does not mean the Jazz will not take Peterson at No. 2. First of all, Utah selected Ace Bailey last year, fifth overall, without ever…


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Publish date : 2026-06-18 21:49:00

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