NBA adjusts its lottery balls, Mazzulla Ball for the win — The Week in Green

Well, after years of faffing about, the NBA has finally implemented a major overhaul of the draft designed to discourage tanking.

It is quite complex, and yet, in some ways, quite simple-minded.

The gist is that the highest odds for the number one pick will no longer be held by the team with the worst record.

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Instead, the teams with the fourth through tenth worst records in the draft will have the highest odds of getting the first pick.

Teams will not be allowed to land the number one pick in back-to-back years (this has happened twice in NBA history, not counting the 2017 draft in which the C’s traded their number one pick to the Sixers, giving them back-to-back number one picks).

Teams will not be allowed to have top five picks in three consecutive years.

The odds have also been significantly flattened overall.

Finally, the bottom three teams will have two lottery balls, the fourth through tenth teams will have three lottery balls, and the eleventh through sixteenth teams will have one ball each.

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I am not a fan of making the lottery this complex, but if the league is going to go into this, I think they need to actually make it more complex.

I don’t like flat odds for the number one pick running from positions four to ten. I don’t like that drop off from tenth to eleventh. This is an area where the league certainly has the ability to add a gradient rather than a drop off.

Now, I’ll grant you, this reform package had to be sold to team owners, who are, I suspect, short of attention span for a lot of these things, so adding a smoother gradient by increasing the number of lottery balls was possibly a non-starter because it would take too long to explain (in fact, I think the lottery rules already take too long to explain, but, hey, in for a penny, in for a pound).

In my scheme, you wouldn’t have a setup with 21 balls for 4-10, 6 balls for 1-3, and 6 balls for 11-16 (total 33 balls). You’d do the setup the same way it’s done now, with balls numbered 1-14 and four number combinations that are mapped out to percentages that scale more smoothly.

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I think it’s rather…


Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/nba-adjusts-lottery-balls-mazzulla-104800026.html

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Publish date : 2026-05-31 10:48:00

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