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It all comes down to this: Game 7 between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder tonight, with a trip to the NBA Finals on the line.
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With tip-off set for 8 p.m. ET at Paycom Center and the Thunder listed as 3.5-point favorites, our Covers experts are ready to dish out their best NBA picks for Saturday, May 30.
Spurs vs Thunder Expert Picks Tonight
Pick
Odds
Jon Metler: Spurs ML
+135
Jason Logan: Holmgren double-double
+185
Joe Osborne: Thunder TT o107.5
-115
Odds courtesy of bet365.
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Jon Metler’s expert pick: Spurs moneyline
Price: +135 at bet365
The Oklahoma City Thunder are simply lacking the level of efficient offense needed to win this series right now.
Jalen Williams is still battling a hamstring injury and doesn’t look fully healthy, while Ajay Mitchell could also be limited if he’s able to play. That leaves a heavy burden on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and the matchup hasn’t been easy for him. Stephon Castle has consistently pressured him at the point of attack, and when he does get into the paint, Victor Wembanyama is waiting at the rim.
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From a matchup standpoint, I don’t see Oklahoma City having enough answers for what the San Antonio Spurs are doing. The injuries matter, and Chet Holmgren hasn’t provided the offensive impact the Thunder need from him in an expanded role.
I picked San Antonio to win this series in seven games before it started, and my conviction has only grown stronger. With the Spurs trading at +135 on bet365 and my number closer to +110, there’s clear value at the…
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Publish date : 2026-05-30 14:23:00
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