Thunder vs Spurs Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for Game 3

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With the Western Conference Finals tied at 1-1 apiece, the series shifts to the Alamo City as the San Antonio Spurs look to regain the upper hand on the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder.

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Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions for Game 3 include no shortage of NBA player prop projections, and we have you covered for the best NBA picks on Friday, May 22.

Thunder vs Spurs computer picks for Game 3

Thunder

Spurs

Gilgeous-Alexander u7.5 assists
+102

Harper o11.5 points
-109

Holmgren o13.5 points
-112

Champagnie u2.5 threes
-105

Mitchell u14.5 points
-115

Castle u7.5 assists
+110

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Thunder Game 3 computer picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 7.5 assists (+102)

Projection: 6.24 assists

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has failed to clear this line in seven of his last 10 games, and given the Oklahoma City Thunder’s sixth-slowest pace, expect that to continue in Game 3.

OKC also ranks as the second-worst team in offensive rebounding on the road, so Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs should limit SGA’s facilitating tonight.

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Chet Holmgren Over 13.5 points (-112)

Projection: 16.02 points

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Chet Holmgren has cashed this prop in seven of his last 10, and our computer projects a 18.77% EV advantage ahead of tip-off.

The Thunder have averaged 119.6 points per game away from the Paycom Center this season, and Holmgren should continue to be one of the main beneficiaries tonight.

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Ajay Mitchell…


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Publish date : 2026-05-22 21:32:00

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