Thunder vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Friday’s NBA Game

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The San Antonio Spurs may not have won the battle, but they’ve got the inside track on the war with the Western Conference finals locked at 1-1 heading to Texas.

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After winning the series opener, San Antonio struggled through a disjointed road loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Injuries, turnovers and OKC’s physical approach to slowing down Victor Wembanyama all took their toll.

Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions for Game 3 see Wembanyama pushing back, especially with the unknown status of San Antonio’s backcourt stars.

My NBA picks like Wemby to top his scoring prop on May 22.

Thunder vs Spurs prediction Game 3 prediction

Thunder vs Spurs best bet: Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 points (-105)

The Oklahoma City Thunder put Isaiah Hartenstein on Victor Wembanyama in Game 2 and used a more physical defensive approach to push him away from the basket.

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After taking 21 of his 25 shots in the paint in Game 1, Wembanyama attempted just 8 of 16 FGAs in the key on Wednesday.

The constant abuse wore him down late and contributed to a more passive outing. He also reached the foul line only twice despite plenty of questionable contact. 

With the San Antonio Spurs home for Game 3, I expect a more aggressive Wembanyama and friendlier whistles from the officials.

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COVERS INTEL:

Wembanyama sees a near 3-point uptick in scoring at home compared to the road and Game 3 projections sit as high as 27+ points. Those forecasts include injured guards De’Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper. Should one or both guards sit, Wemby shoulders more of the scoring load.

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Thunder vs Spurs same-game parlay

A lot could change between now and tipoff on Friday. De’Aaron Fox has missed the last two games with an ankle injury and Dylan Harper is fighting through a bum leg. That said, I have more confidence in those guards coming back than OKC’s Jalen Williams, who re-aggravated a hamstring injury in Game 2.

The Spurs played poorly and had bad luck yet still stuck around on Wednesday. Getting back home helps settle…

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Publish date : 2026-05-21 18:06:00

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