Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds for NBA Playoffs Game 5

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Victor Wembanyama will be in action for Game 5 against the Minnesota Timberwolves, despite giving Naz Reid a tracheotomy with his razor-sharp elbows.

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The San Antonio Spurs star center avoided a suspension after being ejected in the first half of Game 4 for throwing a nasty elbow that would even make Ludacris blush.

With Wemby in the mix, San Antonio is double-digit home chalk, and my Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions go back to the well when it comes to Wemby and rebounds.

Find out more in my NBA picks for Tuesday, May 12.

Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 5 prediction

Timberwolves vs Spurs best bet: Victor Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds (-125)

Before getting the boot in Game 4, Victor Wembanyama had four boards on 9.0 potential rebounds in just 12 minutes. That opening effort put him on pace for another 15+ rebounding performance.

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In the three games prior, Wembanyama snatched up 15 rebounds in each outing on almost 22 rebounding chances per game. Wemby has plucked at least 13 boards in a dozen of his previous 15 games prior to the Game 4 ejection.

With the series swinging back to San Antonio, Minnesota’s shooting could take a dip. That means more rebounding chances for Wembanyama, who is projected for as many as 15+ boards again.

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COVERS INTEL:

Minnesota is dead last in effective field goal rate among the remaining eight postseason teams (47.8 EFG%). That’s generated 86.0 rebounding chances per game in the conference semifinals — tied for second most in Round 2.

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Timberwolves vs Spurs bonus bet: Ayo Dosunmu Over 1.5 threes (+110)

The Minnesota Timberwolves shot nine of their 27 total 3-point attempts in the first quarter of Game 4. But when Wembanyama got bounced, the T-Wolves bailed on the outside shooting and attacked the unprotected rim.

Minnesota had shot 30 and 40 3PAs in the two games prior, so with Wembanyama clear of a suspension, expect the T-Wolves to get pushed back out to the perimeter in Game 5.

Guard Ayo Dosunmu went 1 for 4 from 3-point range in Game 4, which was a stark…

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Publish date : 2026-05-11 23:02:00

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