Thunder vs Lakers Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for Game 4

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The Oklahoma City Thunder are one win away from joining the New York Knicks in the conference finals, with the Los Angeles Lakers down 3-0.

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We’ve checked our model and found the top NBA player prop projections to help you make your NBA picks.

Hungry for more? Check out our complete Thunder vs. Lakers predictions for May 11!

Thunder vs Lakers computer picks for Game 4

Thunder

Lakers

Dort o6.5 points
+100

Ayton o9.5 points
+102

Mitchell u16.5 points
-105

Reaves u5.5 assists
+120

Hartenstein o8.5 points
-105

Kennard o9.5 points
+100

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Thunder Game 4 computer picks

Luguentz Dort Over 6.5 points (+100)

Projection: 8.33 points

This is a five-star play according to our model, showing a 25.73% EV edge. Lu Dort is always ready to take a couple of threes if the Oklahoma City Thunder’s offense calls for it, and he shoots the long ball at a 37% clip.

He scored 10 points in Game 3, and projections call for a similar Game 4.

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Ajay Mitchell Under 16.5 points (-105)

Projection: 14.71 points

Ajay Mitchell has been shredding the Los Angeles Lakers, but our model believes this is two points too high. With OKC sitting as a 12-point favorite, Mitchell might not see as much floor time as normal.

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Isaiah Hartenstein Over 8.5 points (-105)

Projection: 9.60 points

The Lakers have no answer for Isaiah Hartenstein. The big man has scored 10+ points in back-to-back games, and our model calls for him to…

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Publish date : 2026-05-11 18:15:00

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