Thunder vs Suns Prediction, Picks & Odds for NBA Playoffs Game 3 Today

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A series doesn’t truly begin until the home team drops one, right? After losing the first two at Paycom Center, the Phoenix Suns return home looking to get on the board against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 on Saturday.

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With Oklahoma City on the road and potentially shorthanded without Jalen Williams, this may not be a comfortable spot for the visitors.

My Thunder vs. Suns predictions lean toward Phoenix keeping things close and covering the spread as sizable home underdogs.

Here are my NBA picks for Game 3 on Saturday, April 25, from Mortgage Matchup Center.

UPDATE: Added prediction for who will win.

Thunder vs Suns prediction

Who will win Thunder vs Suns Game 3?

Suns: I’ll take the Suns to win this one at home. Not simply to cover but to win outright. The Suns have adopted a scrappy, hard-nosed attitude with Dillon Brooks in the locker room, and Brooks will set the tone on defense.

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Fresh off his sizzling critique of the officials in Game 2, I expect Devin Booker to set the tone on the offensive end. The Thunder could take their foot off the gas here, and Jalen Williams’ absence will certainly be felt. Phoenix went 10-8 straight up as home dogs this season.

Playing with their backs against the wall, I’ll take Phoenix to get the dub.

Thunder vs Suns best bet: Suns +8.5 (-105)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have an NBA-best 66 wins, including the postseason. However, they are just 40-43-1 ATS. The Thunder are 20-20 ATS on the road and 19-18 as the road favorite. Conversely, the Phoenix Suns are 24-19 ATS at home and 12-6 as the home underdog. The Suns have covered in 23 of 39 games following a loss and in 35 of 56 games against Western Conference opponents.

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In seven matchups with the Thunder, the Suns covered the spread four times, including one of two games at home. The Suns hung tough with the Thunder through two quarters in Game 2, going into halftime with a 65-57 deficit. A monster third quarter from the Thunder propelled them to victory, and the game got chippy.

Following the game,…

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Publish date : 2026-04-25 16:55:00

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