Trail Blazers vs Spurs Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for Game 1

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The San Antonio Spurs play host to the underdog Portland Trail Blazers in the Western Conference playoffs, and we’re looking at NBA player prop projections ahead of tonight’s Game 1 clash.

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Our computer projections combined with Douglas Farmer’s Trail Blazers vs. Spurs predictions will help round out your NBA picks on Sunday, April 19.

Trail Blazers vs Spurs computer picks for Game 1

Trail Blazers

Spurs

Henderson o9.5 points
+100

Harper o8.5 points
-110

Avdija u6.5 assists
-105

Vassell o12.5 points
+100

Holiday o14.5 points
-112

Fox o17.5 points
-105

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Trail Blazers Game 1 computer picks

Scoot Henderson Over 9.5 points (+100)

Projection: 11.39 points

The player prop projected to offer the most EV (23.3%) on the slate is Scoot Henderson to go Over 9.5 points at even money.

This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on shots from the field (best in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, creating a positive matchup.

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the second-best offensive rebounding team in the league (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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Deni Avdija Under 6.5 assists (-105)

Projection: 5.48 assists

The Blazers have the sixth-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last five games, and Deni Avdija has only dished out seven-plus assists five times in his last 10.

One of those recent Unders came against the Spurs.

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Publish date : 2026-04-19 16:57:00

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