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Get the popcorn ready as two of the NBA’s biggest superstars, Victor Wembanyama and Nikola Jokic, go head-to-head for the first time this season.
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Wemby has crashed the glass with authority this season, and my Spurs vs Nuggets predictions expect him to hit the Over on a modest rebound line.
Here are my free NBA picks for this powerhouse Western Conference showdown on Saturday, April 4.
Spurs vs Nuggets prediction
Spurs vs Nuggets best bet: Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds (+100)
Victor Wembanyama is pulling down a career-best 11.5 rebounds, so he’ll need just a slightly above-average game to cash the Over here. As an added bonus, we’re getting this prop at even money.
Wemby has grabbed 12+ rebounds in five straight games and six of his last seven. In 21 games since the All-Star break, his rebound numbers have climbed to 12.2 per tilt, and he’s hit the Over 12 times.
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The majority of times he didn’t grab 12+ boards were against bottom feeders, where the San Antonio Spurs are up so big they don’t need his services. That won’t be the case in a game where the Spurs are favored by just two points.
Wemby’s 11.5 rebound average ranks fifth in the Association, and his 9.4 defensive rebounds are second-most by any player. Over their last 10, the Denver Nuggets have surrendered the 12th-most rebounds (43.2) and 12th-most defensive rebounds (32.4).
In six head-to-head matchups with Nikola Jokic, Wembanyama has averaged a whopping 14.7 boards, and he’s corralled 12+ rebounds four times.
He should be well-rested after getting a maintenance day on Thursday, so I expect a strong night cleaning the glass.
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Spurs vs Nuggets same-game parlay
Both teams are nearly at full strength, and both feature an MVP candidate surrounded by a deep cast of solid shooters and scoring options. I’m counting on a high-scoring affair tonight in what I think will turn into a track meet between two Top 3 offenses.
Denver hasn’t been great against the spread at home this season, going 18-19 at Ball Arena and just…
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Publish date : 2026-04-04 13:39:00
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