Duke vs UConn Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s March Madness Game

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I’ve always had a soft spot for ‘90s basketball — from retro Jordans and Shaq Attacks to classic Nike throwbacks. That same nostalgia hits with Sunday’s Elite Eight matchup between the Duke Blue Devils and UConn Huskies, two programs that defined that era.

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Fast forward 30 years, and bettors get a marquee East Region showdown worthy of those battles. Meanwhile, Alex Karaban is cementing his place among UConn greats with his NCAA Tournament performances.

Our UConn vs. Duke predictions love how this game shakes out for the senior — and my March Madness picks can’t believe Karaban’s points prop is this low.

UPDATE: Added prediction for who will win.

Duke vs UConn prediction

Who will win Duke vs UConn?

Duke: I have the Duke Blue Devils advancing to the Final Four in the bracket, bringing a little more to the table than the UConn Huskies. Game models all stamp the Dukies’ ticket to Indianapolis, with talent winning out over experience in the end.

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Duke vs UConn best bet: Alex Karaban Over 12.5 points (-120)

Alex Karaban is on a tear in the tourney, putting up 17, 22, and 27 points. He’s the most active member of the UConn Huskies attack, constantly moving without the basketball in this half-court motion.

Duke has tough decisions to make on defense when it comes to Karaban. His frantic pace is a lot for any defender, especially on the tight turnaround of the Elite Eight.

The Duke Blue Devils will likely go with Cameron Boozer, but he’s not an elite on-ball defender and they must be careful not to run his tires bald. Should Duke go to zone, Karaban will let it fly from deep.

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COVERS INTEL:

Alex Karaban is 11 for 28 from beyond the arc in the NCAA Tournament (44%). So far in the Big Dance, Duke has allowed 44% of its opponents points to come from 3-pointers, including 13 triples from St. John’s.

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Duke vs UConn same-game parlay

Duke…

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Publish date : 2026-03-29 14:21:00

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