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The Denver Nuggets hope to avoid a season series loss when they host the Dallas Mavericks tonight at Ball Arena.
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Nikola Jokic is one of the best playmaking bigs the NBA has ever seen, and my Mavericks vs. Nuggets predictions expect a big night of dishing for the Denver legend.
Read on for my NBA picks for Wednesday, March 25.
Mavericks vs Nuggets prediction
Mavericks vs Nuggets best bet: Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists (-115)
Nikola Jokic does not chase assists. They come from how the Denver Nuggets run their offense, with the ball in his hands at the elbow or in the post on most possessions.
From there, he reads the defense. If defenders stay home, he scores. If they help, he passes to the open man.
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The Dallas Mavericks are a team that will send help. They do not have a reliable one-on-one defender to handle Jokic in the paint, so extra defenders will come once he establishes position.
That creates passing lanes and open shots for Denver’s perimeter players.
Our NBA player prop projections model notes that the Nuggets have played at the eighth-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, while the Mavericks have played at the third-speediest tempo over the last five.
This should lead to increased plays for Denver, and more possessions lead to more chances for Jokic to create assists without forcing the action.
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His production in this area is steady. He’s averaging 10.5 assists per game along with 17.7 potential assists, which shows how often he is creating scoring chances for teammates.
Recent form supports the play as well. Jokic has recorded at least 11 assists in seven of his last nine games.
His assist total should soar against a Dallas defense that leaks like a sieve, ranking third-worst in assists allowed per game to centers this season.
Mavericks vs Nuggets same-game parlay
Without Aaron Gordon, there’s more pressure on Denver’s secondary scorers like Christian Braun and Cam Johnson to finish plays, and they have.
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Braun should see 30+ minutes, and…
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Publish date : 2026-03-25 13:46:00
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