No. 2 Iowa State vs. No. 7 Kentucky NCAA Tournament predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets

Purdue takes the court Sunday in St. Louis against Miami (FL) as nearly a double-digit favorite after a dominant 104-71 opening-round victory over Queens. The Boilermakers are currently on a five-game winning streak and feature one of the most efficient offenses in college basketball history, led by the NCAA’s all-time assist leader, Braden Smith. A victory on Sunday would not only secure a third consecutive Sweet 16 appearance for the program but also mark Head Coach Matt Painter’s 500th win at Purdue.

Miami is in the Round of 32 following a convincing 80-66 win over Missouri, demonstrating the quick turnaround achieved under first-year head coach Jai Lucas. The Hurricanes feature a good inside outside game led by Malik Reneau in the paint and point guard Tre Donaldson on the perimeter. Donaldson was everywhere in the opening round where he tallied 17 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 assists.

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This game may well come down to Purdue’s ability to knock down perimeter shots vs. Miami’s inability to defend beyond the arc. The Hurricanes rank 319th nationally in three-point defense since January, a vulnerability that could be exploited by a Boilermaker squad shooting 38.5% from deep. To pull the upset, Miami will need to leverage their advantage in two-point field goal percentage and hope Purdue’s shooters have an off night, while also improving on a shaky 59% free-throw performance Friday.

This is the third meeting between these schools but first since 2020. The winner advances to the Sweet 16 and a date against the winner of Texas and Gonzaga.

Lets take a closer look at this Round 2 matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of…


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Publish date : 2026-03-22 00:01:00

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