Women’s NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch: Massive fight for bids in the Big 12 tournament

Editor’s note: This article is part of the Bracket Central series, an inside look at the run-up to the men’s & women’s NCAA Tournaments, along with analysis and picks during the tournaments.

For many March Madness-bound teams, conference tournaments are a cherry on top of their seasons. They serve as a chance to take home hardware while preparing for the NCAA Tournament as well as an opportunity to improve seeding. But for teams on or around the bubble, conference tournaments are their last shot at a bid.

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With several bubble teams in the Big 12 and the ACC, those conference tournaments will have the biggest bubble implications. But of course, if an unexpected squad wins their mid-major conference tournament that could result in a stolen bid.

Last four byes

Last four in

First four out

Next four out

Villanova

Princeton

Syracuse

Utah

Iowa State

Mississippi State

Richmond

Arizona State

Virginia

Colorado

South Dakota State

Stanford

Clemson

Virginia Tech

Kansas

BYU

Big 12

Six Big 12 squads are either on or near the bubble. Iowa State is just above, while Colorado, Utah and Arizona State are firmly on the bubble line, and BYU and Kansas are just below. That means there is a whole lot to gain, and even more to lose, in this tournament. Let’s break down the bracket.

BYU, Arizona State and Kansas all play in the first round. A loss for any likely means a popped bubble. Utah, Iowa State and Colorado all received first-round byes. Because of its overall resume — which includes a NET ranking of 33 and two Quad 1 wins — Iowa State could likely withstand a second-round loss.

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But Utah and Colorado need to advance to keep March Madness hopes alive. Any wins after that would simply add to their resumes. Of course, this isn’t an exact science. If Iowa State loses its first game and all the other bubble teams across conferences advance (though this isn’t likely), then the Cyclones could still miss out. The best advice for any bubble team is simple: Win and keep on winning.


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Publish date : 2026-03-04 10:46:00

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