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On Sunday, after a long and arduous wait, the calendar will turn to March.
With it will come a tense two weeks for dozens of men’s college basketball teams across the country, whose results over the final stretch of the regular season will determine whether their NCAA Tournament dreams will live or die.
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Such is life on the dreaded bubble for the 68-team event.
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Six months ago, it’s an anxiety-laced position few would have envisioned Auburn finding itself in. Coming off the program’s second Final Four appearance in a six-year stretch, the Tigers returned a handful of key contributors, namely guard Tahaad Pettiford, from a squad that went 32-6 while bringing in some impactful new players like Keyshawn Hall.
Auburn’s outlook abruptly changed in late September, though, when coach Bruce Pearl stunned much of the sport by stepping down and handing the reins over to his son, Steven. Under a first-time head coach who had never coached in the sport other than under his own father, the Tigers have failed to live up to their status as a preseason top-25 team, with a 15-13 record heading into the weekend of Feb. 28.
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It’s been especially bleak lately, with six losses in their past seven games. Not all of those setbacks came against the SEC’s heaviest hitters, either. In the past 10 days, Auburn has fallen to a sub-.500 Mississippi State team and an Oklahoma squad that seems destined to make a coaching change once the season ends.
While that slew of losses has placed the Tigers in an uncomfortable position, they’ve got several important metrics working in their favor. As of Thursday, Auburn was No. 35 in the NCAA’s NET rankings, No. 37 on KenPom and No. 25 in BPI. On KenPom, it has the No. 1 strength of schedule this season, an unforgiving run of games that featured some notable wins against No. 7 Florida, No. 15 St. John’s and No. 17 Arkansas. Though it comes against 11 losses, it has five Quad 1 victories.
Conversely, the Tigers have a pair of Quad 2 losses and…
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Publish date : 2026-02-28 11:02:00
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