March Madness predictions: 13 teams who can win men’s tournament

March Madness is quickly approaching, with the men’s college basketball regular season coming to a close in the coming weeks. A few teams are starting to pull ahead as national championship favorites.

Eight of the last nine national champions have been No. 1 seeds in the NCAA tournament, with the lone exception being UConn in 2023, as the Huskies were a No. 4 seed. Of course, UConn repeated as national champions in 2024. Coincidentally enough, the last team lower than a No. 4 seed to win a title was also UConn, when it won as a No. 7 seed in 2014.

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That said, math favors the NCAA tournament champion being a team that dominated the regular season, which makes plenty of sense.

Here’s a look at USA TODAY Sports predictions for which teams can win a national championship this season:

March Madness predictions 2026: Who can win a national championship?

Michigan

It only took Dusty May two seasons as head coach to turn Michigan into a national championship contender, as the Wolverines are 26-2 this season with wins over Gonzaga, Purdue and Michigan State, which all also appear on this list.

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Michigan is the only team in the country ranked inside the top five of both KenPom’s offensive and defensive adjusted efficiency, ranking No. 5 and No. 2 in the metrics, respectively. UAB transfer Yaxel Lendeborg is one of the best all-around players in the country, averaging 14.2 points with 7.2 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game on 49.6% shooting.

Michigan belongs at the top, or at least very close to it, among the national championship favorites this season.

Duke has been the best defensive team in the country this season per KenPom, and also has one of, if not the frontrunner for national player of the year in Cameron Boozer.

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Boozer, who’s averaging 22.7 points with 10.7 rebounds and four assists per game on 58.3% shooting this season, has had a Cooper Flagg-like impact on the Blue Devils. The surefire top-five pick in the upcoming 2026 NBA Draft was tremendous in Duke’s win over Michigan on Feb. 21, scoring 18 points with 10 rebounds,…

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Publish date : 2026-02-26 11:05:00

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