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After the biggest win of the season over Iowa State, BYU stays home when UCF comes to the Marriott Center late Tuesday night.
UCF is approaching lock status for the NCAA Tournament, and a road win over BYU would just about secure that. UCF is coming off a two-point road win at Utah Saturday without leading scorer Riley Kugel. Kugel is listed as questionable versus BYU.
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The game tips off at 9pm MT on ESPN2.
BYU and UCF by the numbers
UCF KenPom: 49
NET ranking: 46
Record: 19-7 (8-6 Big 12)
Best Wins: Texas A&M (A), Kansas (H), Kansas State (A), Colorado (A), Arizona State (H), Texas Tech (H), TCU (H), Utah (A)
Losses: Vanderbilt (H), Oklahoma State (A), Arizona (H), Iowa State (A), Houston (A), Cincinnati (A), West Virginia (H)
AP Ranking: n/a
BYU KenPom: 21
NET Ranking: 19
Record: 20-7 (8-6 Big 12)
AP Ranking: 19
KenPom Prediction: BYU 89, UCF 78 — BYU 84% win probability
Point Spread: BYU -11.5
Point Total: 163.5
UCF Overview
UCF is considered a consensus tournament team. According to Bracket Matrix — which aggregates 121 bracket projections — UCF is in by each bracket projection and projected a 9 seed.
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In Big 12 play, UCF ranks 7th in KenPom offensive efficiency and 12th in defensive efficiency. Two things that jump out about UCF is their ability to hit the three ball and ability to keep turnovers relatively in check. UCF shoots 35% from three in league play (#3 in Big 12) and are sixth in turnover percentage. They have four players average between 12-14 ppg and then a gap to the next player. UCF is bottom half in the Big 12 in offensive rebound percentage, free throw rate, and two-point percentage.
Defensively, UCF has been susceptible this season. They don’t force a ton of turnovers and really struggle defending inside the three point line. UCF is top half in the conference in three-point defense, but opponents shoot a blistering 58% from two (last in Big 12). AJ and Rob could have a lot of success in the paint this game.
UCF has some really nice wins on…
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Publish date : 2026-02-24 05:24:00
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