The Lottery Wheel: A radical, complete and long-overdue fix for NBA tanking

Tanking in the NBA is getting out of hand. Jaren Jackson Jr. made his debut with the Utah Jazz and had 22 points through three quarters. Then he sat down and watched a 15-point lead disappear. So did Lauri Markkanen. And so did Jusuf Nurkic. Utah lost. That was the point.

Every year, tanking happens. But the scale of it this season is staggering, and it’s undermining the product. The Jazz are not alone in their mission to intentionally lose. The Grizzlies traded away Jackson and aren’t rushing back Zach Edey or Ja Morant. The Pacers rested six veterans in a loss against the Jazz last week. The Bucks are keeping Giannis Antetokounmpo away from the court for as long as possible. Trae Young and Anthony Davis haven’t played yet for the Wizards. The Bulls flipped half the team for a nonsensical roster with eight guards on it. The Nets and Kings aren’t trying to win. Neither are the Mavericks. Even the team that just hit the jackpot is back in the tank.

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That’s nine teams. We’re not even at the All-Star break. This is happening despite a 2019 lottery reform that flattened the odds so the three worst teams share a 14% chance at the top pick. That was supposed to fix things. It hasn’t. No team is tanking to the extremes of the Process Sixers. But more teams are tanking into the top 10, because odds in the middle of the lottery now have a real chance of jumping into the top four like the Mavericks did one year ago, leaping from 11th to first to take Cooper Flagg. Since the 2019 reform, 11 of the 28 top-four picks have gone to teams with seventh-or-worse odds. Under the new rules, the NBA has matched decades of lottery chaos in just seven years.

(Hassan Ahmad/Yahoo Sports Illustration)

That’s one reason tanking has reached this scale. The other? An absolutely stacked 2026 draft class. There are at least three players worthy of the first pick: Kansas guard Darryn Peterson, BYU forward AJ Dybantsa, and Duke big Cam Boozer. Even beyond them, the rest of the top 10 is stacked. Executives believe this draft has a chance to be historic.

“What’s happening is largely a byproduct of this draft class,” said one…

Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/article/the-lottery-wheel-a-radical-complete-and-long-overdue-fix-for-nba-tanking-163635615.html

Author : Kevin O'Connor

Publish date : 2026-02-11 16:36:00

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