The Texas Tech Red Raiders travel to Waco and hope to remain in the hunt for the Big 12 title with a win over the Baylor Bears.
All eyes will be on Red Raiders forward JT Toppin, who is averaging better than 21 points and 11 boards on the season.
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Read on for my Texas Tech vs Baylor predictions and college basketball picks for Tuesday, January 20.
Texas Tech vs Baylor prediction
Texas Tech vs Baylor best bet: Texas Tech -1.5 (-115)
The Baylor Bears might regret playing such a weak non-conference schedule, because it’s clear they weren’t prepared for what Big 12 play would bring.
The Bears are just 2-5 against Q1 opponents, and sit at 1-4 in conference play. Their win against Oklahoma State was an impressive road victory, but it came behind a 59-point first-half performance. That stands out, since they’ve scored less than 65 points in their other four conference games.
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Meanwhile, the Texas Tech Red Raiders have lost just four games this season, all against Q-1 opponents, with the only conference blemish being a four-point loss at Houston.
Since the start of conference play, they have led the Big 12 in both defensive rebounding rate and 3-point shooting percentage. They’ve also posted the second-best eFG% metric at both ends of the court.
Baylor’s posted a high offensive rebound rate on the season, but that number has dipped significantly against conference foes due to its lack of size in the frontcourt. And the Bears rank dead last in the conference in defensive rebound rate, offensive eFG%, turnover rate, and shooting percentage inside the arc in their last five games.
The Bears are not a deep team and will have no real answer to match JT Toppin. Add in the outside shooting of Christian Anderson, Donovan Atwell, and Jaylen Petty, and this is another game that will likely get away from the Bears in a hurry.
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Baylor is 1-4 ATS in Big 12 play, and that trend will continue as it won’t cover against this strong Texas Tech team.
Texas Tech…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/texas-tech-vs-baylor-prediction-143546939.html
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Publish date : 2026-01-20 14:35:00
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