Wisconsin vs Villanova Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s College Basketball Game

Villanova and Wisconsin square off in one of those neutral site games that won’t be very neutral. The Wildcats and Badgers meet in the Milwaukee Hoops Showdown, located a little more than an hour from Wisconsin’s campus.

Nova has lost both previous times it left Philadelphia this season, most recently by 28 to Michigan. Wisconsin got hammered by Nebraska in its last game, 90-60.

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Both teams have something to prove, and the game should be tight. That’s why my Wisconsin vs. Villanova predictions and college basketball picks call for underdog Villanova to cover a bigger than expected spread.

Wisconsin vs Villanova prediction

Wisconsin vs Villanova best bet: Villanova +4.5 (-110)

The Wisconsin Badgers have shown it’s a different team when facing high-level competition. They are 2-3 in Quad I and II games, both straight up and ATS. The two Quad I opponents they’ve faced produced lopsided losses, 98-70 vs. BYU and the 30-point blowout at Nebraska.

The Badgers scored less than a point per possession in three of the five games and had effective shooting below 45% in three of the five, the only times this season either has happened. Wisconsin shoots 100 points worse on two pointers against good teams (.512 vs. Quad I & II, .611 vs. III & IV) and 85 points worse from three (.288 compared to .373).

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The defense has been even shakier against good teams. Wisconsin gave up more than a point per possession in four of the five games, and just once in the other six.

The Badgers allowed four of the five foes to post effective shooting over 50%, something that happened just twice in the six Quad III and IV games. The top two quadrants shoot 65 points better from three than worse opponents (.384 to .318) and 38 points better from two (.529 to .491).

Of course, it’s harder to do splits for Villanova, because the Cats have only played two Quad I foes and none from Quad II. They lost both of those games, to BYU (an ATS win) and at Michigan.

Villanova matches up well…

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Publish date : 2025-12-19 16:17:00

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